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Nintendo has released what industry experts describe as a "cautious" sales projection for its upcoming Switch 2 console, citing ongoing tariff uncertainties.
The company's latest financial report forecasts 15 million Switch 2 unit sales and 45 million game sales for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The next-generation console launches on June 5.
Nintendo clarified its projections account for current U.S. tariff rates implemented on April 10 remaining unchanged, though it acknowledged potential market fluctuations. "We will continue monitoring market conditions and adjust our strategy accordingly," the company stated.
Daniel Ahmad, Research Director at Niko Partners, described the 15 million forecast as "conservative," noting on social media that Nintendo appears to be "accounting for tariff volatility, pricing challenges, and manufacturing constraints despite strong preorder numbers."
Ahmad suggested Nintendo might revise its forecast upward if tariff conditions improve, but cautioned that "current economic factors are creating challenging launch conditions, compounded by the possibility of additional tariff increases."
Despite these concerns, achieving 15 million sales would make Switch 2 one of the most successful console launches in history, surpassing the original Switch's first-year performance of 14.87 million units.
Demand appears exceptionally strong despite economic factors. Following a tariff-related delay, preorders began on April 24 at the unchanged $449.99 price point and sold out rapidly. Nintendo has cautioned U.S. customers ordering through the My Nintendo Store that high demand may affect guaranteed launch day delivery.
For comprehensive purchasing information, visit IGN's official Nintendo Switch 2 preorder guide.
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